Posted 2017-March-28, 09:12
But what are the chances of winning the rubber? You have to win two games to one, or do enough damage to them vulnerable that you get back their games, their 500, and whatever their sacrifice is worth. Sure you get the 210 back, and the 750 slam bonus, and it's quite possible that if you sacrifice here, you may be only paying 500 rubber bonus rather than 700 - but that's 1200 or so. If you give up 500 or 700 in 7♠ (does rubber still use the old NV penalties?) that's half of that right there, for the chance of giving up another game on the next hand and paying out 820 more anyway. Or maybe you take the "only 300, partner" sac against that game, too, and now you're 1000 in the hole - and are *still* likely to be paying out 500 or 700 rubber bonus in the end.
I'm not a rubber player, but these are thoughts that duplicate players don't have to look at - and they're fascinating, and have been since at least Skid Simon. And part of his comment is "how much do you want the rubber to continue? If you're playing with Mrs. Guggenheim, you want the rubber to be over as fast as possible, pay out, and cut again - hopefully to be on the right side of the cut this time. And Mrs. Guggenheim wants you to do that too, because you're minimizing *her* losses, as well."
When I go to sea, don't fear for me, Fear For The Storm -- Birdie and the Swansong (tSCoSI)
Opponents are game up only in a best of three rubber. 2♠ is weak, 6-10 HCPs and presumably a 6 card suit (though my partner has occasionally opened a 5 card suit at this vulnerability too). I thought 4♠ was as sensible a bid to make given my poor holding, though it didn't stop the opponents finding their ♥ small slam.
I would be grateful for your thoughts on my 4♠ bid, and whether I should sacrifice in 6♠ immediately or later in the auction given that this is rubber bridge, not duplicate.
(By the way, I was scared of sacrificing as I didn't wish to push my opponents into a vulnerable grand slam which can be made.)