Halo, on Jun 26 2008, 05:31 PM, said:
Yes Gnasher,
But it doesn't equate to one of two finesses - since after the nine takes the King (successful finesse) you still need a second finesse to make. We are told LHO is strong, so he is not forcing you a second time when the spade finesse is failing.
For the moment (until I understand the argument better) I'll stick to my defensive error or King of Hearts on the left line of play.
The first finesse is against RHO's
♥K.
If LHO has
♥K, one finesse has lost.
The second finesse is against LHO's
♠K.
If LHO has
♥K and RHO has
♠K, two finesses have lost.
If LHO has
♥K,
♠K, a doubleton heart, and
♦9x(x), we also need RHO to have
♥10, to enable us to avoid a trump promotion. Most of the time, we don't care whether
♥9 loses to
♥K or
♥10.
Thus it needs trumps breaking, one of two finesses against the major suit kings, and a bit more.
The above analysis assumes that if RHO has
♥K he'll either play it or make it obvious that he has it.
P P P 1H
P 2D p 2S
P 2N p 3D
p 3H p 3S
p 4D p 5D
Agree with the auction (yay no 2 way drury)?
The lead is a club to the ace and a club back. Plan your play. If it matters to you your RHO is a weak player and your LHO is a strong player.