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Preemptive jump raises 1M - 3M

#1 User is offline   qwery_hi 

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Posted 2009-May-15, 05:39

I have a couple of questions about preemptive jump raises in the majors. Setting is teams, not MPs. The basic system is 2/1 100% GF.

Are preemptive 1M - 3M raises a net gain? The books say 1M-3M should be 4 card support and usually <= 6HCP.

Q1. How much do you lose if you're not playing this?

And if it is decided to play this,

Q2. Based on your experience, is it better to play the preemptive 1M - 3M as 4 card support and

(i) 0-6 hcp OR
(ii) 3-8 hcp?
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#2 User is offline   rbforster 

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Posted 2009-May-15, 06:56

Certainly 1M-3M is going to cause trouble for the opponents when it comes up. My experience is in playing a limited opening system (precision), which means that I'll be preempting partner much less often than the opponents. Playing standard you'll have a few more losses by occasionally preempting partner and then having him guess wrong if you play a wide range of hands in the 3M bid.

The drawback I see is mainly having to put your normal limit raise bid somewhere else to make space for the 3M preempt. Often people use one of 1M-3m as a Bergen limit raise, which means you give up whatever you used to play 1M-3m as (strong or intermediate jump shift?). Those are perhaps rare enough to justify the tradeoff and can be handled tolerably through other bids (2/1 or forcing NT), but you will lose when these alternative hands come up since you can't show them as clearly as before.

Playing 2/1, I would suggest 4 card support and 0-5 hcp, often with some sort of shortness/ruffing value. With 4333 I would often pass or bid differently, especially vulnerable, for example. With 6-8 hcp and support, I want partner to know about it so he can consider bidding (or inviting) game. This is a little different playing precision where you can think partner will rarely be able to make game with at most 15 opposite 6-7 hcp, so perhaps then you can widen the range to 0-7 or something.
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#3 User is offline   mtvesuvius 

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Posted 2009-May-15, 07:11

I don't have statistics on this, but I strongly prefer 1M - 3M as pre-emptive. Now, for the range, 3-8 seems quite illogical since with 16 or 17, opener cannot comfortably pass... Whereas 0-6 makes it a lot less likely that opener will have a borderline game hand imo. In a strong club system it's fantastic, since you will almost never be pre-empting partner, but will occaisionally get too high on the hands where they can only make a partscore and you are down 2 or 3 vulnerable.
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#4 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2009-May-15, 07:12

I have recently moved to a mixed raise in this situation, maybe 5-7, with a lot of success. You get more opportunities to hammer the opponents. Not sure which is best in the long run.
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#5 User is offline   qwery_hi 

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Posted 2009-May-15, 08:10

kenrexford, on May 15 2009, 05:12 AM, said:

I have recently moved to a mixed raise in this situation, maybe 5-7, with a lot of success. You get more opportunities to hammer the opponents. Not sure which is best in the long run.

Does your mixed raise have 4 trumps?
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#6 User is offline   rbforster 

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Posted 2009-May-15, 08:23

qwery_hi, on May 15 2009, 09:10 AM, said:

Does your mixed raise have 4 trumps?

The typical definition of a mixed raise is a hand with 4 trumps that would have bid 1M-2M based on values. It may also want/require some shortness depending on your style.
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#7 User is offline   JLOL 

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Posted 2009-May-15, 09:03

I also think mixed is better than weak.
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#8 User is offline   hanp 

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Posted 2009-May-15, 09:18

With Arend I play it mixed, but a little stronger than Ken. It's more like 7-9 HCP if 4432.

Somehow I doubt that I can convince Dutch partners to play this with me. I have only tried to convince one Dutch bridge player and she just rolled her eyes at me.
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#9 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2009-May-15, 09:24

I have never played it as a mixed raise, but it's sure a lot more common than my idea of a preemptive raise so I would think it's a better idea.
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#10 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2009-May-15, 09:32

3M is fine as a preemptive raise, but you have to give up something else. 3M as preemptive works with Bergen (and variants).

With one of my partners we play:

3M = mixed (but not as lite as Ken's)
3M minus 1 = 3 card limit raise (along with a SF 1N response) - with shape
3M minus 2 = 4 card limit raise
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#11 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2009-May-15, 10:09

I think 7-9 is a little nicer than 5-7 because then you don't have to cater to 5-7 with 4 cards, you can just bid 2 then 3 with those hands. With 7-9 the preemptive effect is nearly the same, but now you have a smooth range, 2 then 3, 3 and 2NT (limit or better).
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#12 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2009-May-15, 10:30

Well, technically we don't use HCP analysis so much as cover-card analysis. A mixed raise produces about two covers. With KQ of trumps, that's almost two covers, so you probably need a doubleton somewhere also.

A nine-count would have to be really ugly to only be "mixed." Maybe 4333 with two Aces and a Jack?
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#13 User is offline   hanp 

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Posted 2009-May-15, 10:40

For me a mixed raise is a bit weaker than a limit raise.

I'm wondering how many cover cards Kxx is and how many cover cards Axx is.
and the result can be plotted on a graph.
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#14 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2009-May-15, 10:42

hanp, on May 15 2009, 11:40 AM, said:

For me a mixed raise is a bit weaker than a limit raise.

I'm wondering how many cover cards Kxx is and how many cover cards Axx is.

0.875 and 1.137 respectively. :blink:
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#15 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2009-May-15, 10:42

kenrexford, on May 15 2009, 11:30 AM, said:

Well, technically we don't use HCP analysis so much as cover-card analysis. A mixed raise produces about two covers. With KQ of trumps, that's almost two covers, so you probably need a doubleton somewhere also.

A nine-count would have to be really ugly to only be "mixed." Maybe 4333 with two Aces and a Jack?

Who is "we"?
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#16 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2009-May-15, 10:44

jdonn, on May 15 2009, 11:42 AM, said:

kenrexford, on May 15 2009, 11:30 AM, said:

Well, technically we don't use HCP analysis so much as cover-card analysis.  A mixed raise produces about two covers.  With KQ of trumps, that's almost two covers, so you probably need a doubleton somewhere also.

A nine-count would have to be really ugly to only be "mixed."  Maybe 4333 with two Aces and a Jack?

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Well, that's a tough question.

It could mean "me" and "my other me," if I'm suffering from some ailments.

Or, it means "me" and "my regular partners who actually play real bridge." That would exclude friends who aren't "players" but atre just simple mom-and-pop types.
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#17 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2009-May-15, 10:45

kenrexford, on May 15 2009, 11:30 AM, said:

Well, technically we don't use HCP analysis so much as cover-card analysis. A mixed raise produces about two covers. With KQ of trumps, that's almost two covers, so you probably need a doubleton somewhere also.

A nine-count would have to be really ugly to only be "mixed." Maybe 4333 with two Aces and a Jack?

I think if you are upgrading most 9 counts to limit raises, you are overbidding, although I do agree with the general definition of 2 cover cards, but I would also hands with 2.5 covers.

I think any of these qualify as mixed raises:

Jxxx, AKxx, xx, Jxx

Axxx, Kxxx, xx, Qxx

Qxxx, KJxx, xx, Kxx
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#18 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2009-May-15, 10:54

Phil, on May 15 2009, 11:45 AM, said:

kenrexford, on May 15 2009, 11:30 AM, said:

Well, technically we don't use HCP analysis so much as cover-card analysis.  A mixed raise produces about two covers.  With KQ of trumps, that's almost two covers, so you probably need a doubleton somewhere also.

A nine-count would have to be really ugly to only be "mixed."  Maybe 4333 with two Aces and a Jack?

I think if you are upgrading most 9 counts to limit raises, you are overbidding, although I do agree with the general definition of 2 cover cards, but I would also hands with 2.5 covers.

I think any of these qualify as mixed raises:

Jxxx, AKxx, xx, Jxx

Axxx, Kxxx, xx, Qxx

Qxxx, KJxx, xx, Kxx

Well, the "funny thing" is that I (we?) also have another step that we call a "limix" raise. That's a hand that values up to a minimum limit raise because of shape.

We bid one-under (3 for hearts, 3 for spades) with limix raises.

Jxxx, AKxx, xx, Jxx = marginal. About 10 with the doubleton.

Axxx, Kxxx, xx, Qxx = Much more clearly limix, IMO.

Qxxx, KJxx, xx, Kxx = Clearly limix if spades trumps, IMO. Maybe marginal if hearts trumps. I suppose still somewhat marginal.

The "marginals" would mean that either partner might at any time decide that the hand is limix or mixed, depending on his mood, and, if the result was bad, we'd foight like dogs that our position was right this time. LOL

Frankly, I think all of these are probably limix, but I could be persuaded that I'm wrong.
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#19 User is offline   andy_h 

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Posted 2009-May-15, 17:11

I play it as a mixed raise of 7-9 too, except when favourable I play it as preemptive like 4-7.
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#20 User is offline   Trinidad 

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Posted 2009-May-15, 18:33

I play it as 3-6 with my 2/1 GF partner and as 0-7 with my strong club partner. If I wouldn't have had another bid for the mixed raise, I would happily play 1M-3M as mixed with my 2/1 GF partner.

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