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Assign the blame missed slam

#1 User is offline   mohitz 

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  Posted 2010-April-18, 02:07

Scoring: IMP


2 - 4

First time partner. 2NT would have been Ogust ask. New suit forcing one round.
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#2 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2010-April-18, 02:31

Hard to say - depends on your weak 2 style - opposite standard weak 2s -

North 90% for opening 2S when she has a clear 1S opening. South 10% for not bidding Ogust if she knows that North can have such a hand. If Nth has but 6S ti the K together with the C ace. you can count 11 tricks and have chances for a 12th.By the way, what Ogust responses do you play?
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#3 User is offline   CSGibson 

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Posted 2010-April-18, 02:34

Unless I find that 2 was a two-suiter, I blame N. They were 1st seat with a 2-suiter that could easily have opened 1 spade, and chose to preempt instead, an action that won't be taken at other tables. I could have worked well, but it also deserves the blame for missing a good slam when S has a huge double fit.
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#4 User is offline   mohitz 

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Posted 2010-April-18, 03:14

2S agreed as weak two. Ogust responses

bad suit bad hand
good suit bad hand
bad suit good hand
good suit good hand
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#5 User is offline   dicklont 

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Posted 2010-April-18, 03:19

Both.
North's hand is too good for 2.
South's hand is far too good to sign off.
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#6 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2010-April-18, 03:42

north is vul, south can count 11.5 tricks if partner has 2 keycards and very liekelly a 12th in clubs or heart ruff. Just give him Axx and Kxxxxx.

playing ogust is not very good, with feature ask its much easier 2NT-3-6NT (to protect K).


North's opening is pretty bad BTW.
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#7 User is offline   peachy 

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Posted 2010-April-18, 03:56

North has a 1S opening. After 2S is opened, the train is off the track already.
Ogust answers will not help South, even if he did decide to use it, there could easily be two heart losers off the top even if opener shows good hand and good suit.
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#8 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2010-April-18, 04:31

Fluffy, on Apr 18 2010, 09:42 AM, said:

north is vul, south can count 11.5 tricks if partner has 2 keycards and very liekelly a 12th in clubs or heart ruff. Just give him Axx and Kxxxxx.

playing ogust is not very good, with feature ask its much easier 2NT-3-6NT (to protect K).


North's opening is pretty bad BTW.

Which 12 tricks can you count?
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#9 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2010-April-18, 04:47

gwnn, on Apr 18 2010, 10:31 AM, said:

Fluffy, on Apr 18 2010, 09:42 AM, said:

north is vul, south can count 11.5 tricks if partner has 2 keycards and very liekelly a 12th in clubs or heart ruff. Just give him Axx and Kxxxxx.

playing ogust is not very good, with feature ask its much easier 2NT-3-6NT (to protect K).


North's opening is pretty bad BTW.

Which 12 tricks can you count?

11.5 tricks at least, with possible inmediate 12th in lead, J Q Q 3-3 or 3-2, and maybe a diamond lead if dummy has J10 or J9
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#10 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2010-April-18, 05:19

If we agree that partner will usually have KQ of spades, the chances of him having any other honour seem close to 0. Also given our 4 clubs, partner seems unlikely to have 4 clubs, so the only two significant chances are the heart lead the heart finesse or sometimes the 3-3 in clubs.

OK fair enough, that's a good slam still :angry:
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#11 User is offline   Bbradley62 

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Posted 2010-April-18, 06:28

gwnn, on Apr 18 2010, 07:19 AM, said:

If we agree that partner will usually have KQ of spades, the chances of him having any other honour seem close to 0. Also given our 4 clubs, partner seems unlikely to have 4 clubs, so the only two significant chances are the heart lead the heart finesse or sometimes the 3-3 in clubs.

OK fair enough, that's a good slam still :)

So, what position are you taking? If you think the 2 bid gives North virtually 0 chance of holding either round A (a position I'm not agreeing with, btw), then slam doesn't make, even with the underlead of the A and 3-3 clubs.
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#12 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2010-April-18, 06:36

I agreed finally that (provided partner promises 6 spades) if you play feature ask and partner shows A, 6NT is a good bid.
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#13 User is offline   Bbradley62 

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Posted 2010-April-18, 06:39

gwnn, on Apr 18 2010, 08:36 AM, said:

I agreed finally that (provided partner promises 6 spades) if you play feature ask and partner shows A, 6NT is a good bid.

OK. Sorry, I lost track of the conversation.
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#14 User is offline   Bbradley62 

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Posted 2010-April-18, 06:45

North's bid was terrible, absurd, and completely anti-partnership, especially for a first-time partnership. Despite this, South should have easily imagined possible North hands that make slam, so South gets 90% of the blame.
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#15 User is offline   pooltuna 

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Posted 2010-April-18, 07:03

mohitz, on Apr 18 2010, 03:07 AM, said:

Scoring: IMP


2 - 4

First time partner. 2NT would have been Ogust ask. New suit forcing one round.

mostly N for preempting S with an inappropriate hand. From South's perspective this looks like a 50% max slam and as a consequence he took the conservative view.
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#16 User is offline   jillybean 

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Posted 2010-April-18, 07:41

2 killed any chance of a normal auction, why is this posted as a problem?
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#17 User is offline   aguahombre 

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Posted 2010-April-18, 07:43

Even a Pass by North to start with works better, leading to 6S by South after 2NT. I might have overlooked the fact that my stiff heart was the Queen and accidentally passed.

South is not blameless after the 2S start. So:

100 % North (for the opening)

50% South (for not exploring)

25 % Ogust (for not being useful on this hand)
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#18 User is offline   Rodney26 

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Posted 2010-April-18, 09:01

I mostly blame North. New partnerships should preempt in a straightforward manner in seats 1 & 2.

New partnerships also should not play Ogust. When we post mortem at the club, I've seen at least two occasions where one pair answered good hand, good suit and another answered bad hand, bad suit on the same holding. Until you establish in a partnership what constitutes a good hand or suit in each seat at each vulnerability, Ogust is completely useless. On this hand, I suspect no matter what North answers to 2NT (except 4H), South isn't going to be able to move confidently holding Kx in hearts. So, 10% to South for not giving North a chance to make this undiscussed bid.
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#19 User is offline   Winstonm 

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Posted 2010-April-18, 10:43

mohitz, on Apr 18 2010, 04:14 AM, said:

2S agreed as weak two. Ogust responses

bad suit bad hand
good suit bad hand
bad suit good hand
good suit good hand

In that case I blame your agreement and your methods. Ogust is one of the more horrific bridge ideas to ever come along - at best, it is designed to reach a 3NT contract with it's not-very-specific responses but ignores the fact 2 out of 3 times the opening weak 2-bid will be in a major so reaching the major-suit game is the key quest, not 3NT.

I wrote about this in The Bridge World some time ago - the most useful method is an asking bid method with responses that describe modified loser-counts, assuming the opened major as the trump suit.

It doesn't take much imagination to understand with these hands the value of 2S-2N-3C as showing a 6-loser hand.
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#20 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2010-April-18, 11:38

loser count is for losers
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
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