Come in or not
#1
Posted 2014-July-11, 06:13
Vul we red they white
Both pairs wk nt 4 card M
1s p 1n
Ak6
Aj542
T982
K
Do people come in if so what with
Eagles
#2
Posted 2014-July-11, 06:16
#3
Posted 2014-July-11, 07:38
#4
Posted 2014-July-11, 07:40
If one has X then some sort of ELC (correct 2C to 2D to show reds) available, that'd be awesome, otherwise I guess yes we have to risk 2H. It's a sizeable risk at this vul. :/
ahydra
#5
Posted 2014-July-11, 07:44
#6
Posted 2014-July-11, 08:08
However I have this creepy feeling I am supposed to bid. It feels like the kind of hand where Justin comes along and says it is a sure bid, maybe with a comment like "the kiddie table is over there".
-gwnn
#7
Posted 2014-July-11, 08:14
the heart suit is too weak/short, the spade length is exactly wrong, the club K may be more useful on defence than offence. We can all see that there are layouts on which bidding is better than passing, but I don't think the odds favour that action.
I would not be at all surprised to learn that the OP passed and was later criticized for doing so by someone who loves to analyze bidding after seeing all the hands
#8
Posted 2014-July-11, 09:17
billw55, on 2014-July-11, 08:08, said:
LOL, well predictably I'm a monkey who would bid but I don't really have much of a problem with pass since the plan is to bid later in a hopefully more descriptive way (if they bid clubs). I like bidding immediately since we might get to the wrong red suit with the pass then X plan (MATCHPOINTS GOTTA PLAY THE MAJOR!), it preempts them if they do have a club fit (it will be harder to find), and there is some chance 1N will be passed out which kinda sucks (but might be a good thing also if 2H is down), or if they rebid 2S I will be forced to balance and that might be dangerous/still might get to the wrong suit. Also there is some chance we will miss a game if I start with a pass, I might have less values to balance and esp might not have the 5th heart so partner might not jump to 3H for instance after 1S P 1N p 2C p p X p ? when game makes.
I would pass if you reversed the red suits though. Obviously passing has benefits if diamonds is our fit on this hand, and might also benefit us greatly if we are in trouble on this hand.
#10
Posted 2014-July-11, 12:40
Over 1 ♠, responder's hand is almost a complete unknown -- just about any hand not good enough for a 2 level response. About the only thing you know about responder's hand is that there are probably not 3+ ♠ in it.
If opener is opening a 5+ card ♠ suit, it can be any opener from a scrawny 11 to just below a 2 ♣ opener.
However, if the opener has only a 4 card ♠ suit, then it would seem that 4 ♥s must also be held else one of a minor would have been opened. If opener has a balanced 4-4 major hand, then it must be equal or greater in value to your hand else a weak NT would have been opened.
So stepping into this auction is a huge risk. You're looking at a 15 count. Give opener 12 and responder 6, then partner can have maybe a 7 count at most which makes it a part score hand. Down 1 doubled or down 2 vulnerable (-200) is the kiss of death in matchpoint part score hands. +50 may not be a great result, but you'll likely have plenty of company making it an average/average - at worst.
#11
Posted 2014-July-11, 14:41
rmnka447, on 2014-July-11, 12:40, said:
Giving them minimums of 12 and 6 is not realistic. The guy who responded white/red with 1N to 1S does not have a minimum of 6, he has a minimum of zero, so I don't really agree with "partner has maybe a 7 count at most." It doesn't really matter though, if my partner has a 7 count we have a majority of the points and likely have a fit, I would like to be competing on a "partscore hand" at MP.
Quote
I would expect that if someone passed, they are much more likely to be a good player than a bad one. That is, I expect all bad players to bid 2H on this hand since they have 15 points and a 5 card suit. It is only a good player who might think to pass. So I doubt we will have lots of company if we pass unless we are playing in a high quality field. I doubt we would have any company in a club game. Not that it matters, if you think passing is right then you should pass but it is not going to be a field action in almost any field.
I expect most people are planning to bid at some point anyways if the opps don't bid a red suit? eg 1S 1N 2S p p, or 1S 1N 2C p p, or 1S 1N 2C 2S. Is that correct?
#13
Posted 2014-July-11, 16:59
rmnka447, on 2014-July-11, 12:40, said:
No. With 44 majors you open 1H. What you do with four spades and four of a minor is a matter of agreement. With 4333 you open your four card suit
#14
Posted 2014-July-12, 13:02
#15
Posted 2014-July-12, 14:56
#17
Posted 2014-July-13, 16:50
#18
Posted 2014-July-14, 02:10
nevermind.
But what ever you do, be sure you are on the same wavelength with your partner,
this is much more important than anything else.
With kind regards
Marlowe
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
#19
Posted 2014-July-14, 03:02
#20
Posted 2014-July-14, 04:43
PhantomSac, on 2014-July-11, 14:41, said:
This hand was played in an English club (or maybe the Acol club on BBO?). I think it's fair to assume that openings can be light but responses will be sound. Opener is 10+ and responder is 6+ in my experience but maybe it's different where Eagles plays.