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Lead Problem

#1 User is offline   eagles123 

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Posted 2015-January-16, 07:40



Thanks,

Eagles
"definitely that's what I like to play when I'm playing standard - I want to be able to bid diamonds because bidding good suits is important in bridge" - Meckstroth's opinion on weak 2 diamond
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#2 User is offline   mgoetze 

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Posted 2015-January-16, 07:55

Opps bidding does not exactly inspire confidence that they are in a good contract. I'll try to not blow a trick and let them sort it out. Trump seems reasonable.
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#3 User is offline   billw55 

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Posted 2015-January-16, 07:56

edit: OP fixed auction
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#4 User is offline   eagles123 

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Posted 2015-January-16, 08:01

Ah damn missed out a round of bidding

N bid 3s over 3c then S bid wood
"definitely that's what I like to play when I'm playing standard - I want to be able to bid diamonds because bidding good suits is important in bridge" - Meckstroth's opinion on weak 2 diamond
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#5 User is offline   gordontd 

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Posted 2015-January-16, 08:16

If you trust their bidding they won't have two diamond losers, so I'd try to build a second trick to go with the DA by leading a small heart, hoping for partner to have the HQ.
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#6 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2015-January-16, 08:32

I think I'd go with the A.
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#7 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2015-January-16, 10:42

Did you really mean 1 ace and not 1 keycard? Anyway, it seems like our chances are

  • Try to lead and expect to defeat by taking 2 red tricks.
  • Try to cash A and expect to defeat when pd has Qxx

In both cases you need pd to hold a Q, so they are playing a slam with 28 hcp. This tells me that responder has shape for driving to slam with less than slam values. At least 5-5.

In order to lead to work, you need them to play a 5-3 fit otherwise they will be able to clear trumps and run clubs pitching losers OR all the diamonds NT opener holds. Of course there are exceptions to this but still. You also need the shapely hand not to be short in suit (5125 wont' help you even if you find Q with your pd)

But A lead will work each time pd has Qxx or Kxx in addition to when they hold a hidden 5-2 (responder 6142/5125 snd opener 3253/3352) so pd can ruff 2nd . Unlikely but possibility. Also another tiny chance that we can cash AK

This is why I asked the question whether 4 NT was asking only aces or keycards. In keycard system, responder could have asked about the trump Q, or maybe he did not bother?
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#8 User is offline   eagles123 

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Posted 2015-January-16, 10:50

Yes they only play regular Blackwood
"definitely that's what I like to play when I'm playing standard - I want to be able to bid diamonds because bidding good suits is important in bridge" - Meckstroth's opinion on weak 2 diamond
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#9 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2015-January-16, 10:51

View Posteagles123, on 2015-January-16, 10:50, said:

Yes they only play regular Blackwood


Then i lead A for the reasons I listed.
"Genius has its own limitations, however stupidity has no such boundaries!"
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"

"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."





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