So, now that another dozen or so titles are tainted
#1
Posted 2015-September-14, 07:43
I have been arguing since the Tenerife scandal that top level bridge needs to switch to an electronic playing environment. I believe that the combination of
1. Physical separation of players and
2. Perfect record keeping
is an incredibly powerful combination in preventing cheating. Historically, there has been a lot of push back against this idea from players who believe that it is important to protect the social aspect of the game, preserve table feel and the like.
I suspect that the sheer number of majority events that have been tainted by the two most recent disclosures, I hope that folks eyes are now open regarding the intrinsic costs associated with preserve the Face-to-Face playing environment.
Equally significant, I want to point out that video feeds are USELESS in detecting pairs that are using electronic devices to pass signals.
We now have near definitive proof that top level players have been cheating in and repeatedly winning championship level events. However, I am more convinced than ever that we are only catching the "stupid" cheats who are using blatant visual or audio based signals.
If people care about the integrity of the game, we need to switch to an electronic playing environment.
#2
Posted 2015-September-14, 08:49
#3
Posted 2015-September-14, 08:56
OK, perfect record keeping may help against any method of cheating. The question is, are we really ready to punish cheaters from results alone - without any ideas about how they are doing it? It could be a tough sell. In the current cases, the codes are confirmed by video, which is very different.
-gwnn
#4
Posted 2015-September-14, 09:05
billw55, on 2015-September-14, 08:56, said:
the inverse square law is a glorious thing...
#5
Posted 2015-September-14, 09:14
hrothgar, on 2015-September-14, 09:05, said:
I wonder how far is far enough. Perhaps they will need separate hotels for nationals now? Although, you and I are in separate cities. I'm pretty sure you are beyond the range of my cell phone, but we can still communicate virtually instantaneously without difficulty. Relays, amplifiers, I don't know all the techie terminology. But I do know that cheaters are persistent and will always find new ways.
Of course that doesn't mean that we should not stop what cheating we can.
-gwnn
#6
Posted 2015-September-14, 09:15
Having a face-to-face observer is hugely helpful (how did these "whispers" start) but I do think Zel's approach is a good solution there.
a.k.a. Appeal Without Merit
#7
Posted 2015-September-14, 09:16
Only thing required is a big sponsor for a big tournament and things would start rolling.
Also fred said BBO was working on somthing related to this although not exatly what we were expecting. I have big hopes in his job.
Zelandakh, on 2015-September-14, 08:49, said:
I've described something similar many times, and I think this is the right approach.
Also there is an in between alternative were all people play with cards, but there is a block in the middle of the table that doesn't let you see your partner (but you can see opponents). All info from partner's bid & plays comes to you electronically while info from opps comes the usual way.
#8
Posted 2015-September-14, 09:19
awm, on 2015-September-14, 09:15, said:
Having a face-to-face observer is hugely helpful (how did these "whispers" start) but I do think Zel's approach is a good solution there.
High quality opponents that losed to you will spend time looking at the vugraph archives if they exist. This is enough to make a difference.
#9
Posted 2015-September-14, 09:23
Fluffy, on 2015-September-14, 09:16, said:
Blocking vision is not enough as the doctors proved. You could also use cards in the 2 + 2 method if you wanted by using an OCR reader and cards printed with bar codes.
#11
Posted 2015-September-14, 09:38
Zelandakh, on 2015-September-14, 09:23, said:
I agree with you, but it is a step forward, and there is a bunch of people who want to hold cards in their hands to play bridge for some reason. I would rather jump to separated rooms for screenmates rather, wich also allows for telematic play under supervision.
#12
Posted 2015-September-14, 09:51
Fluffy, on 2015-September-14, 09:19, said:
They will almost surely find whatever they expect to find. The massive numbers of hands presented as "evidence" which are simply not suspicious confirms this. It is always easy to find a few leads that struck gold or a judgment that worked which a majority of experts would not have made, or a defense that seems impossibly good to an observer ignorant of carding agreements.
The cases so far really rest on video evidence. It is theoretically possible to catch someone statistically, but in practice allowing this as formal "proof" will be disaster for the bridge community.
a.k.a. Appeal Without Merit
#13
Posted 2015-September-14, 12:14
awm, on 2015-September-14, 09:51, said:
The cases so far really rest on video evidence. It is theoretically possible to catch someone statistically, but in practice allowing this as formal "proof" will be disaster for the bridge community.
I think a simple experiment would be interesting. Collect a couple hundred deals from top level competition, but otherwise randomly. Different players, different events, etc. Then give the set to the analysts and tell them that north south is Fisher-Schwartz on all deals. Then see what they "find", if anything. It might clear up some of the ideas out there about bias or the lack thereof.
-gwnn
#14
Posted 2015-September-14, 12:53
but experts like helene_t might reach significant and credible statistical conclusions
Obviously code-busting is more convincing if it predicts future observations, rather than just accords with past observations, most of which were used to crack the code..
#15
Posted 2015-September-14, 13:22
Just wondering about the inverse square law. Suppose the bermuda bowl was held on two remote islands, both a few hundred kms from the nearest GSM mast. Then the cheaters would have to bring their own satelite modems to be able to communicate with each other. Maybe, alternatively, one could jam GSM signals from the playing rooms.
But maybe it would be more practical just to ask the players to take their shoes off for inspection. It is bit more tricky if someone puts a transmitter in his tooth filling and operate it with the tongue.
#16
Posted 2015-September-14, 13:25
helene_t, on 2015-September-14, 13:22, said:
Reminds me of my wife's instructions as we were passing through US Customs on our vacation. "Do *NOT* make any jokes. Do *NOT* make any jokes. Do ...."
Psyche (pron. sahy-kee): The human soul, spirit or mind (derived, personification thereof, beloved of Eros, Greek myth).
Masterminding (pron. mstr-mnding) tr. v. - Any bid made by bridge player with which partner disagrees.
"Gentlemen, when the barrage lifts." 9th battalion, King's own Yorkshire light infantry,
2000 years earlier: "morituri te salutant"
"I will be with you, whatever". Blair to Bush, precursor to invasion of Iraq
#17
Posted 2015-September-14, 16:46
#18
Posted 2015-September-14, 17:15
#19
Posted 2015-September-14, 17:16
awm, on 2015-September-14, 09:51, said:
Perhaps. The alternative hypothesis is, of course, that NOT allowing such proof will be a disaster for the bridge community (because cheaters will just get smart). Maybe the fully electronic playing environment will come. I do think the majority of pros will be willing to submit to it. What I'm less sure about is whether the sponsors will be willing to pay people to play in such an environment.
Of course, ad hoc statistical analysis a la Woolsey is dangerous. That's why the Bridge federations right now should be contracting smart people like Greg Lawler to develop a suite of statistical tests to be used solely for future cases, not for past cases.
-- Bertrand Russell
#20
Posted 2015-September-14, 17:31
Quote
The guy who wrote the above quote? Some Norwegian pro called Brogeland.
-- Bertrand Russell