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What next? Nail your flag to the mast.

Poll: I think that (5 member(s) have cast votes)

Trump will be the next President (of the USA)

  1. Yes (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  2. No (5 votes [100.00%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 100.00%

Electric/solar will outsell fossil fuel cars.

  1. Yes (3 votes [60.00%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 60.00%

  2. No (2 votes [40.00%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 40.00%

America will engage in a major military action somewhere

  1. Yes (4 votes [80.00%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 80.00%

  2. No (1 votes [20.00%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 20.00%

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#1 User is offline   pilowsky 

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Posted 2021-September-17, 04:43

I'm only allowed three questions - add your own below.
non est deus ex machina; även maskiner behöver lite kärlek, J'ai toujours misé sur l'étrange gentillesse des robots.
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#2 User is offline   LBengtsson 

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Posted 2021-September-17, 07:09

Donald Trump has had his day (4 years) in office. politics is about engaging people, not crushing them. he will not return.

it will take many years before electric cars outsell fossil fuel cars. they are still more expensive to buy than petrol/diesel cars

even if the USA does not want to enter another war, the world is not a safe place generally. I guess that its going to have get involved in some military involvement at some time in the future in some place in the world. even if it is not directly involved, it will behind the scenes in some way.
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#3 User is offline   Gilithin 

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Posted 2021-September-17, 07:10

Q2: Over what time frame? Per year or cumulative sales? Sales by $ or number of units?
Q3: Over what time frame? The odds of the USA never again in history engaging in a major military action must be close to zero, even if it is just China invading a defeated country devastated by civil war.
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#4 User is offline   johnu 

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Posted 2021-September-17, 18:54

View PostLBengtsson, on 2021-September-17, 07:09, said:

politics is about engaging people, not crushing them.


Some say this should be the comment, "politics is about enraging people, not crushing them."
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#5 User is offline   kenberg 

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Posted 2021-September-18, 07:35

I don't have a confident answer to any of the three poll questions. Partly I don't know, partly it depends, as others have said, on how the question is interpreted. Yes, sooner or later the US will engage in military action. One could ask: Will it be sooner than, say, some middle east country takes military action against some other middle east country or will it be later? I don't know the answer there either. My guess would be later.

Here is another question that I don't know the answer to: When, if ever, will the US acknowledge that there are more people who would like to leave Guatemala, Honduras and Haiti (and of course many other places) than the US is willing to accept AND THEN come up with a practical answer as to what we should do about that? I take it as obvious that the US sure as hell hasn't yet done, or come close to doing, the second part of the question. And equally obvious that we will not suddenly decide to take in everyone, or almost everyone, who wished to come. "Give me your poor and huddled masses" was always a poem, not a plan.
Ken
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#6 User is offline   y66 

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Posted 2021-September-18, 08:15

deleted
If you lose all hope, you can always find it again -- Richard Ford in The Sportswriter
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#7 User is offline   pilowsky 

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Posted 2021-September-19, 06:33

It is notoriously hard to predict what will happen in 5 years.
Fortunately, in 1973 some clever people at a little technical college in Massachusetts made an attempt.
It looked like this http://bit.ly/EndOfTheWorldMIT
I was 15 years old.
Three years later, I bought my first computer - an HP-125.
It was much better than the logbook I was using in 1973 and somewhat better than the slide rule I had the following year.
My abacus still works fine.

Buck P said:

REM
A tournament, a tournament, a tournament of lies
Offer me solutions, offer me alternatives and I decline
It's the end of the world as we know it
It's the end of the world as we know it
It's the end of the world as we know it
And I feel fine, I feel fine

non est deus ex machina; även maskiner behöver lite kärlek, J'ai toujours misé sur l'étrange gentillesse des robots.
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