After having re-read Gitelman's idea, It dawns upon me that the objections I have had for the 1M-P-3NT auction are repeated here, but at least a level lower.
The apparent reasoning for this call is to ensure that a two-level minor call is "legitimate," meaning offering a source of tricks. However, this specific example provided in this post illustrates rather well my thoughts on this subject.
A "balanced hand" analysis assumes, IMO, a balanced hand from partner. What I mean is that a balanced hand still often contains weaknesses and strength, suit-by-suit. These honor patterns are what is relevant for an unbalanced partner.
To restate. If Opener is truly balanced, perhaps HCP alone will dictate the level. If, however, partner has shape, then the location of the high cards from Responder will be critical. In that case, the question is not really as to the "balanced" nature of the pips, but rather as to the balance of the high cards.
The hand provided has a notable balance as to shape. However, it is unbalanced as to honors. The critical cards opposite a potentially unbalanced partner's hand are distributed:
♠ .5
♥ 1.5
♦ 0
♣ 2. Initiating a sequence with a "balanced" call frustrates the unbalanced-hand partner who will expect something more like
♠ .5
♥ 1.5
♦ 1.5
♣ 1, perhaps.
This explains why I would bid 2
♣ on 3433 pattern with Jxx-AJxx-xxx-AKx. I am, opposite an unbalanced partner, "honor unbalanced."
The apparent goal is to enable a minor call to establish a trick source when Responder later raises the spades. This seems to unnaturally early place captaincy upon Opener. If Responder has that trick source, a useful cue by Opener will allow Responder to assess the value of that trick source. It seems that this entire theory places too much authority with Opener.
Give Responder a different
♠Jxx
♥ AJxx
♦ x
♣ AKxxx, and Opener the less distributional and better-fitting
♠ AKQxx
♥ Kx
♦ xxx
♣ Qxx. As you can see, Responder will be able to elicit the club information necessary to assess the best-likely contract. Opener need not know that clubs are a trick source, because Responder knows this.
The other side of this concept is that Opener, if pip-balanced but honor-unbalanced, should be able to bid 2
♦ after 2
♣ with that hand, and this works well. Thus, Opener with
♠ AKQxx
♥ xxx
♦ KQx
♣ xx has a "balanced" hand from pip perspective, but unbalanced from honor-card perspective. In many test runs with actual deals and generator deals, the auctions proceed better if Opener, after a 2
♣ call, can bid 2
♦.
Thus, in summary, I can see merits to a 2NT call as GF and "balanced," but only if balanced as to pips and as to honors. The 3NT call more frequently used seems more problematic unless precisely balanced as to pips and honors, with slow honors abounding (KJx, QJx, etc.).
I'm sure I'll catch Hell for questioning Gitelman's thesis, and perhaps for my sanity.
"Gibberish in, gibberish out. A trial judge, three sets of lawyers, and now three appellate judges cannot agree on what this law means. And we ask police officers, prosecutors, defense lawyers, and citizens to enforce or abide by it? The legislature continues to write unreadable statutes. Gibberish should not be enforced as law."
-P.J. Painter.