Another lead problem...
#1 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2008-May-30, 13:15
You are second seat r/w and it goes:
p p 1D 1S
2N 3D 3N all p
Your lead
#2
Posted 2008-May-30, 13:34
If I can include attitude (non-interest), I will.
Do not underestimate the power of the dark side. Or the ninth trumph.
Best Regards Ole Berg
_____________________________________
We should always assume 2/1 unless otherwise stated, because:
- If the original poster didn't bother to state his system, that means that he thinks it's obvious what he's playing. The only people who think this are 2/1 players.
Gnasher
#3
Posted 2008-May-30, 13:36
Assuming that partner wins trick one, he may be able to work out whether it makes sense to continue spades or to switch.
Leading a heart initially may be the winning action, but I am hoping to get more than one shot at the right answer.
#4
Posted 2008-May-30, 13:46
1. A spade. This caters to declarer having a single spade stopper, 6 diamonds tricks, a double heart stopper, and the need to develop two tricks.
2. A heart. This caters to a single heart stopper, a double spade stopper, 6 diamonds, and something in clubs.
Every time a lead a spade, declarer's hand is KQx, Kxx, xxx, QJxx. When I lead a heart, declarer has Kxx, KQx, xxx, QJxx.
My sense tells me that declarer needs the spade tricks more than the heart tricks, so I'm firing a low heart. I think its something of a guess, but I'm sure many will say a ♠, wtp?
Only try this with an understanding pard. I'm sure KMB is fine either way.
#5
Posted 2008-May-30, 13:53
ArtK78, on May 30 2008, 02:36 PM, said:
Assuming that partner wins trick one,
Tough to believe that they bid this way with only one stop between them. Oh well.
Sorry.
#6
Posted 2008-May-30, 14:01
Without any aggrements (on the X or lack of), I'll go with a ♥ lead.
#7
Posted 2008-May-30, 14:29
That said, I'm not real happy with this development and wonder if I might have done something to ease my pain, or even take it away entirely.
We just discussed in another thread the concept of fit bids without jumps. Had I been able to do that, I think a 3♥ call might have been better. If partner holds the magic cards in hearts necessary to defeat 3NT, we probably also make 4♠. Even if partner cannot bid 4♠, the heart bid would likely nip the 3NT in the bud and we would be declaring 3♠.
Now, we have a WAG as to what lead to make where it is likely that one of three suits will work, but only one.
-P.J. Painter.
#8 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2008-May-30, 14:33
#9
Posted 2008-May-30, 14:38
Jlall, on May 30 2008, 03:33 PM, said:
Mentally handicapped?
Pray tell...
What would 3♥ show?
-P.J. Painter.
#10
Posted 2008-May-30, 14:51
pclayton, on May 31 2008, 05:46 AM, said:
2. A heart. This caters to a single heart stopper, a double spade stopper, 6 diamonds, and something in clubs.
My instinct tells me that also.
I hate leading..
We are all connected to each other biologically, to the Earth chemically, and to the rest of the universe atomically.
We're in the universe, and the universe is in us.
#11
Posted 2008-May-30, 14:52
After reviewing my Robson-Segal, I cannot imagine how this auction is not a classic case of a fit non-jump bid. I am a passed hand, which is a classic situation for a fit non-jump, for starters. The Robson-Segal guidelines in this situation is any new suit call, typically after a major overcall by partner, at the three-level or higher. We are at that level. My RHO has just bid 2NT, as a passed hand, which is a fairly strong indicator of at least fragmentary diamond support and values. I have a stiff in diamonds, a feature that partner often will be able to visualize anyway, especially if I make a fit non-jump bid. I have a good 5-card side suit to mention, with control of both other suits and four trumps. So, 3♥ seems to be about as classic as you can get.
Had I done this, 3NT would not likely be bid on a runner diamond suit if Opener has a heart problem. If partner has something like QJxxx-KQx-xxx-xx, a POC, he can probably bid 4♠ successfully anyway. Instead, I show the stiff diamond, which helps nothing. Plus, BTW, had I bid 3♥ and Opener 3NT, partners double probably has meaning now, like to lead a heart.
So, I'll play with retarded people like Robson and Segal.
-P.J. Painter.
#12
Posted 2008-May-30, 16:15
Usually I would just lead partner's suit WTP, especially with 4 card support...
But declarer is likely to have two spade stoppers. Also, it is very unlikely that either opponent has 4 card hearts, so if partner has some help they may have only one heart stop.
Still, I don't feel hugely confident about this, and I will be ... keenly interested... during the play to see how a spade lead would have worked.
#13
Posted 2008-May-30, 17:22
Jlall, on May 30 2008, 02:15 PM, said:
(_P) _P (1♦) 1♠
(2N) 3♦ (3N) AP
Your lead
IMO ♥A = 10, ♠ = 9, ♥x = 7
Partners turn a bit deaf when you try explain why you didn't lead their bid suit to defeat the contract. Here however, he may be more forgiving when you start with ♥A because if he doesn't smile encouragingly, you can switch dutifully to ♠.
♥A may also work when RHO has say
♠AQx ♥K ♦ xxxx ♣Qxxxx
#14
Posted 2008-May-30, 17:24
I'm not sure that I'd bid 3♥ with this hand though - hearts aren't the only feature of my hand, and anyway I'm worth 4♠. I'd bid 4♦, showing a high card raise to 4♠. The "high card" part is a slight stretch, but two aces are two aces.
#15
Posted 2008-May-30, 17:37
gnasher, on May 30 2008, 06:24 PM, said:
I'm not sure that I'd bid 3♥ with this hand though - hearts aren't the only feature of my hand, and anyway I'm worth 4♠. I'd bid 4♦, showing a high card raise to 4♠. The "high card" part is a slight stretch, but two aces are two aces.
Like gnasher, our loony team also play splinters, fit jumps, and so on. Here, for us, 3♥ would be a fit non-jump. Robson would argue that all other interpretations of this passed-hand bid are loony
#16
Posted 2008-May-30, 17:49
gnasher, on May 30 2008, 06:24 PM, said:
True, better to have 8 bids that raise partner and 2 bids that don't....
#17 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2008-May-30, 19:36
kenrexford, on May 30 2008, 03:38 PM, said:
Jlall, on May 30 2008, 03:33 PM, said:
Mentally handicapped?
Pray tell...
What would 3♥ show?
3H would show........wait for it........wait for it........HEARTS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! IF YOU HAVE SPADES YOUW ILL OMG RAISE SPADES!!!!!!!!!!! WOWwwwwwwwwwwww!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
#18 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2008-May-30, 19:42
gnasher, on May 30 2008, 06:24 PM, said:
This is an excellent way to hang partner. He overcalled at the one level and your RHO bid 2N behind you when you have no spade honor. Most posters seem to think this shows two spade stoppers, which would imply 2 spade losers.
Seriously I don't understand how you can drive to game vulnerable when you are getting a poor split (as in, if partner has AKJxx you have a loser for sure, AQxxx is probably 2 losers, etc), and they have opened and bid 2N. Sure LHO could be on a psyche or semi-psyche, and probably is, but partner can bid game if you can make it over your 3D bid. What hands are you worried about missing game opposite?
#19 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2008-May-30, 19:46
kenrexford, on May 30 2008, 03:52 PM, said:
lol??? How would 4S be "successful"? Why do you write so many words when you say ridiculous things like partner can probably bid 4S "successfully" with this hand. Yeah going for 500 or if you get very lucky 200 or very unlucky 800, is very successful when your opponents cannot even make a game. What a joke. And why does 3D show a stiff diamond lol? What would you bid with xxxx Axxx Axxx x? 3C now is a splinter not a fit non jump lol? What planet are you from? I see why you try to talk in a language people cannot decipher, becuase when you do try to offer an actual example hand you show how utterly moronic everything you are saying is.
#20
Posted 2008-May-30, 21:08
Jlall, on May 30 2008, 08:36 PM, said:
kenrexford, on May 30 2008, 03:38 PM, said:
Jlall, on May 30 2008, 03:33 PM, said:
Mentally handicapped?
Pray tell...
What would 3♥ show?
3H would show........wait for it........wait for it........HEARTS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! IF YOU HAVE SPADES YOUW ILL OMG RAISE SPADES!!!!!!!!!!! WOWwwwwwwwwwwww!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Starting with the first laughable comment.
You ignore Robson-Segal, of course. However, you also miss the reality that the bid actually made was 3♦. Now, I understand that 3♦ "is a cuebid" and therefore raises spades. However, you obviously opted to use a call other than a spade bid to raise spades. In case you missed the concept, 3♥ is also a bid, other than spades, that raises spades.
The fact that noted experts advocate this method, although not necessarily an authoritative statement that nothing else is possible, might have toned down a reasonable man. Know one?
A 3♥ bid that "shows hearts" is a rather stupid agreement. I would hope that the definition of your calls have more meat to them than to identify a suit that qualifies as "natural" by GCC standards. That mere definition would be "4+ hearts, 0-37 HCP, shape unknown."
I would expect that you could ascertain that a "fit bid" also, get ready, sit down for this, shows hearts. However, some of us actually have more to the meaning of our bids than simply that the suit is 4+ in length.
-P.J. Painter.

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