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Talking sports

#21 User is offline   luke warm 

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Posted 2010-December-31, 19:05

View PostBbradley62, on 2010-December-31, 12:37, said:

Miami and Dallas probably don't think this is a certainty.

i'm sure they don't... i don't think miami's defense is good enough for the post season...

View Postcherdano, on 2010-December-31, 12:52, said:

Is that a bet?

of course not, it's just a certainty ;) ... who do you pick?
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#22 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2011-January-01, 06:56

View Postluke warm, on 2010-December-31, 19:05, said:

i'm sure they don't... i don't think miami's defense is good enough for the post season...

of course not, it's just a certainty ;) ... who do you pick?

I think Miami and San Antonio are most likely to make it, but that's far from a certainty. Miami maybe has a 50% chance, and San Antonio a bit less than that.
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#23 User is offline   hrothgar 

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Posted 2011-January-01, 07:45

View Postmike777, on 2010-December-30, 16:26, said:


"I'm probably repeating myself, but random variation of outcomes is critical to the acceptance of a sport, and the NBA's problems as a spectator sport are 100% derived from the fact that the length of their schedule is mis-aligned with the random variation of the game outcomes. The reality is that, having now played. . .what, a third of the schedule?. . .we KNOW who will be in the NBA playoffs, for the most part, and we know who will be in the finals--therefore, nothing is REALLY at issue in the remaining games, therefore there is little point in playing them.



If this assertion were true, it would be reflected in betting patterns.

Any information about the accuracy of points spreads in the NBA as opposed to other professional sports?
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#24 User is offline   Bbradley62 

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Posted 2011-May-02, 21:02

View Postcherdano, on 2010-December-30, 22:20, said:

Who is going to be in the NBA finals?

View Postluke warm, on 2010-December-31, 10:36, said:

boston and san antonio


Memphis is always screwing stuff up...
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#25 User is offline   luke warm 

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Posted 2011-May-03, 03:51

View PostBbradley62, on 2011-May-02, 21:02, said:

Memphis is always screwing stuff up...

yeah, bummer... and miami might screw up the other end
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#26 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2011-May-03, 07:06

Might?
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#27 User is offline   luke warm 

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Posted 2011-May-03, 16:10

ok, it's looking bad
"Paul Krugman is a stupid person's idea of what a smart person sounds like." Newt Gingrich (paraphrased)
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#28 User is offline   Gerben42 

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Posted 2011-May-09, 13:16

Yay Mavs :)
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#29 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2011-May-09, 13:24

Lakers

...
Hi y'all!

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#30 User is offline   luke warm 

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Posted 2011-May-09, 15:50

View PostPhil, on 2011-May-09, 13:24, said:

Lakers...

that you magic?
"Paul Krugman is a stupid person's idea of what a smart person sounds like." Newt Gingrich (paraphrased)
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#31 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2011-May-09, 16:20

View Postmike777, on 2010-December-30, 16:26, said:

From Bill James:

"I'm probably repeating myself, but random variation of outcomes is critical to the acceptance of a sport, and the NBA's problems as a spectator sport are 100% derived from the fact that the length of their schedule is mis-aligned with the random variation of the game outcomes. The reality is that, having now played. . .what, a third of the schedule?. . .we KNOW who will be in the NBA playoffs, for the most part, and we know who will be in the finals--therefore, nothing is REALLY at issue in the remaining games, therefore there is little point in playing them.

The fun part of putting predictions up on the Internet (instead of voicing them at your local pub) is that the rest of the world can later make fun of them.
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#32 User is offline   Bbradley62 

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Posted 2011-May-22, 18:22

View Postmike777, on 2010-December-30, 16:26, said:

From Bill James:

"... The reality is that, having now played. . .what, a third of the schedule?. . .we KNOW who will be in the NBA playoffs, for the most part, and we know who will be in the finals--therefore, nothing is REALLY at issue in the remaining games, therefore there is little point in playing them."

I guess it's a good thing they're playing the games, huh?
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#33 User is offline   Bbradley62 

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Posted 2011-May-22, 18:30

View Postmike777, on 2010-December-30, 16:26, said:

From Bill James:

"I'm probably repeating myself, but random variation of outcomes is critical to the acceptance of a sport, and the NBA's problems as a spectator sport are 100% derived from the fact that the length of their schedule is mis-aligned with the random variation of the game outcomes. The reality is that, having now played. . .what, a third of the schedule?. . .we KNOW who will be in the NBA playoffs, for the most part, and we know who will be in the finals--therefore, nothing is REALLY at issue in the remaining games, therefore there is little point in playing them.
<snip>
The NBA has too many trials, which have the effect of making the game predictable (that is to say, boring.) The four things they could and should do to offset this are: 1) Lengthen the shot clock (thus reducing the number of possessions in a game), shorten the three-point line (thus making it possible to shoot down a bigger, stronger team), 3) Shorten the game (thus, again, reducing the number of possessions), and 4) reduce the number of games. If they did those four things they would reduce the standard deviation of winning percentage by 30% or more, thus making the games--and the leagues--much more competitive."


I was thinking about this regarding bridge as well.

So, major national and international bridge team championships should be decided based on 8-board matches instead of current formats, to increase the chances that lesser players can win?
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#34 User is offline   Lobowolf 

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Posted 2011-June-05, 10:11

View PostTimG, on 2010-December-30, 23:07, said:

Losing a trick you could otherwise win is against the rules in ACBL land



That's the only reason I never rectify the count.
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