Posted 2012-July-27, 13:43
Sorry to be on you Phil, IMO in these hands you are doing the right things (well, except I strongly prefer 2H to 2S but same idea, you were attempting to make a normal bid). In all of these hands you got 33-35 % of the MP or something by doing normal things, when you might have gotten 65-70 by doing something heroic (except on this hand, you would likely get 45 or something unless you are gonna tell me that the double dummy defense would automatically have been found vs 2D X).
You have to accept that in a national pair game, sometimes you will do normalish things and have the worst of it. If you look at my estimates on my card it is usually littered with ave - or ave estimates, but hopefully I will have more ave + estimates, and I will have a few tops (usually from lucky gifts, or from doing something awesome in the cardplay when I had lots of info, rarely from something heroic in the bidding). To me the hands you posted are normal "just doing business." In each case, the opps did something good that might have damaged you that everyone didn't do (2D overcall, 3H balance in the other hand, competing to 2S in the other hand, and playing well for down 1 though you could have made it tougher).
I am not saying that you can afford to be on the wrong end of all of these type of hands, but generally if your decision making is better than theirs on these type of hands, you will wind up with 60 % or w/e. Even a 58 is a pretty big game in a national pair game. If you are playing your cards well, and doing your best on these type of hands, you will be crushing it. A few 35 %s do not crush your 58 % game, they are basically accounted for. Keep doing high percentage things that have low risk of getting zeroes imo.