Jillybean, I wonder why it feels like a Whodunit...there's a reason 85A is in the books. Even when the facts given are agreed, but the facts not given...
I think that we've been told that the card says "transfers over 1NT openers, natural (cuebid stayman?) over 1NT overcalls" and that that would be "pretty standard". I think we can argue that the actual agreement is "natural, but this hasn't happened in a couple of years, and partner might have forgot."
And then, barring UI from East, it's only a case of misinformation - West is allowed to guess right. Use of the "failure to Alert" UI by East - is interesting, and worth working on. My bias is "no use", but I showed why my biases may be too strong for this case earlier. Having said that, I don't expect South to be pleased with "use of UI, 3
♦=, N/S -110" either...
Yes, it's hard to find out that information (did East hitch, why did West guess "forget" rather than "slam try"?). Maybe asking West will give it, but I doubt it. Frequently you can come at it from the side - "okay, that was the auction. Anything odd happen - surprise, questions, or such?" with no particular emphasis. Almost always you either get an immediate, strong "oh yeah, East said 'oops' after 3
♦"(/tried to remind West to Alert/...) or you get "no, nothing", or you get vague "not sure..." (which means "nothing, but we're pretty certain that will lead to no ruling"). Frequently you get it from the OS, in fact, or at least you can judge the quality of the denial as well. Who knows - it could be that something was mentioned at the table, and the TD-in-training didn't connect "East bid 2
♦, and then tapped the bid" with "UI given to West that made the 'guess' easier".
So, MI. Does that matter, in the auction, or in the play? I'm assuming that most that went down in spades went down in 2
♠, probably after either 1
♠-(1NT)-2
♠ weak raise or a 1NT-2red auction (whichever suit means hearts). I think that after 3
♦ which is absolutely untainted, nobody is going to bid 3
♠ even with the right information - and if they do, it'll score worse than -140 (surely it's doubled, given no 2
♠ raise directly over 1NT?) Would it play better? Not sure.
So, back to my question about relevance. Is the fact that this is a top relevant? What do we think about South's question? (note, the question is not Wrong. But do I hear "rule of coincidence?") What if the answer to "if West was confident..." was "so, West wasn't confident. You weren't made aware of that, and you were entitled to that information. Does it affect your bidding or play in any way?"
You're allowed to wake up (provided you don't use UI to do so). You're allowed to guess that partner forgot system (provided you don't use UI to do so, and provided partner doesn't use UI to make calls that will help you guess right in face of LAs that don't). So, was there?
It would be fun to poll it, in the bar, as "not-a-director", to see how many read this auction as West as "partner must have forgot and thought we were playing Systems On". I bet in my games, provided I wasn't the one asking (or I was known to have played and only "director support"), I'd get more than a couple biters. But then again, "cuebid stayman, others natural" or the like after 1NT overcalls is almost unheard of here, except with old, flight A pairs.
I don't think we penalize anyone. I do think that the timing of the call is somewhat suspicious - they were fine with the auction until not only it made, but it made exactly 3, and 3NT went down. But that's not a problem - they are entitled to call when they choose to call. It might make it harder to establish the facts, and it might mean that we're less likely to believe "oh, there was an obvious tell" from N-S. But no attention was drawn to any irregularity until end of hand, so nothing wrong with the director call timing. I think that E-W should know their system, and should be more careful (however, if the card said "systems on", and West forgot, and East didn't correct the MI (or used the UI, in a different auction), then maybe penalties are in scope).
My guess - unless we can inveigle a tell from East, or a confession from West - is "misinformation, no damage, score stands". I have pointed others of our esteemed host's club to that chapter in Simon before - and I might do so again.
If we can establish UI from East, then sure, -100 in whatever (surely after bid-4
♥, west is allowed to Get It - or 3NT or 4
♦-p by East). But if there was an obvious tell by East, South's question wouldn't have been just vague RoC nonsense. Or would it?
I would also prepare the director for the "best part" of directing - somebody's going to think you can't direct, or maybe just can't play, or maybe are as gullible as a newborn babe, and will make that opinion very clear, even if not actually stated. Maybe when the ruling is given, maybe later. If you're not able to roll with it, this may not be the job for you.
Ha Ha Only Serious: "Must have been the right ruling. All four players don't like it."
So, pescetom - how close did I get?
When I go to sea, don't fear for me, Fear For The Storm -- Birdie and the Swansong (tSCoSI)